Here's one I made earlier and yes the shape is damn near impossible. |
“Nothing is particularly hard if you divide it into small
parts”-- Henry Ford
I admit it, beneath the suave, urbane façade I present to
the world, I'm a bit of a geek. Probably a lot of other things as well, but
certainly a geek about certain things. I love culinary technology, I love
sci-fi, I think games are what computers are made for and I when I want a
gadget I want it now.
It depresses me to wait for the postman when I want something, it depresses me more to actually have to go to a shop for a gadget mind but the postal wait combines gives me time for my lazy angst and post purchase tension to combine to reduce the adrenaline oomph one gets when the gadget arrives. I don’t want time to rationalise my purchase, I want the pure thrill of widget satisfaction. Right here, right now!
It depresses me to wait for the postman when I want something, it depresses me more to actually have to go to a shop for a gadget mind but the postal wait combines gives me time for my lazy angst and post purchase tension to combine to reduce the adrenaline oomph one gets when the gadget arrives. I don’t want time to rationalise my purchase, I want the pure thrill of widget satisfaction. Right here, right now!
In short, when I hit “pay” I want the damn thing here before
I get time to get guilty and defensive about dropping £200 on a pair of
ludicrous cufflinks (see posts passim and I'm joking, I haven’t bought them). I
short I want my new toy to fall out an "n" dimensional drawer on the side of my
device and give me my new precious thing right here. As you can imagine from that
intro, 3D printing rather intrigues me. But not just for the instant satisfaction
angle, because no matter how hard I wish for it, the technology still isn’t “badda-bing!”
speedy and you can’t fit a hover-board/titanium coffee maker/jet pack pogo
stick inside an iPad. I'm fascinated by it by what it will do to our economy,
our culture and what it promises in terms of personal freedom.
You see, one of the foundations of
the industrial revolution was a realisation that if you built one hundred
things it worked out cheaper per unit than if you built just one. Simple
economies of scale drive this but you lose some of the personal nature of the
widget if you chose one of the generic ones. It becomes a trade off, cheaper
but generic versus expensive but tailored to your exact needs. From this point
of view, manufacturing split into two divergent fields, factory based mass production
and nano-scale personal production. Since then vast bulk of manufacturing
innovation since has been directed at the former, where the money was, rather
than the latter which clung to its time hallowed techniques as a badge of
honour and an excuse to charge vastly more per unit. This stable situation has
remained for over two hundred years, the dead hand of the market overriding
investment at the nano-scale end and focusing us more and more on efficiency,
supply chain, cost per unit and rationalisations as to why you can’t get
exactly what you want for a reasonable price.
However the barriers to innovation
in manufacturing are evolving fast, driven by the exponential improvements in the
design side tooling and the rather obvious ability to decompose any design into
micrometer layers and express it in solid form, the economies of scale are
becoming less relevant and wild new economic models may become accessible.
Enter the 3D printer and the design economy. The modern 3D printer has been
knocking around in various niche markets for over a decade, in that time the
technology has erased the centuries old profession of architectural model maker
and revolutionised the building of conceptual prototypes but had little impact
on the public perception. Over the last eighteen months however, though
advances in the basic technology, the concept has the potential to move out of
those specialist markets into a much wider pattern of uptake and usage. The
technology rapidly got cheaper, better and faster and now a whole range of
higher value use cases can be addressed. If innovation and uptake continue, the
technology now has the potential to move into mainstream adoption in a similar
way to laser printing in the late 1980s.
The potential of 3D printing (or
additive manufacturing to use the industry term) is, quite simply, vast. Prior
to 2010, the outputs of 3D printers were only used as examples or models due to
a lack of various mechanical properties, low performance of the printers and a
cost per cubic centimetre of around £9.00. This has now changed, with the
adoption of newer resin bases and improved printer designs using bubble-jet
analogies as well as thermal laser curing, the mechanical properties of the
printed output have improved by an order of magnitude. This improvement alongside
a reduction in cost to under 50 pence per cubic centimetre and a four-fold
improvement in both speed and quality, as expressed by pixel and layer
resolution, have opened the field up to new customers and attracted the
interest of mainstream vendors like HP.
The potential of the concept has
taken the tech from the designer/architect arena out into new fields like
construction, aerospace, medical science and high tech engineering and all have
deployed systems. 3D printers can now craft designs in a range of materials as
divergent as chocolate, concrete, collagen gels and even metals (using the new
selective metal sintering toolsets from ExOne and 3D systems or the fused
deposition modelling tooling from Stratasys, you can build models in stainless steel
and magnesium), as well as the usual grades of resin. The range of use cases
have expanded massively from the model and prototype into production of the
final version of one-off, complex or expensive items which traditional
manufacturing techniques would have rendered uneconomic or impossible. It’s
even possible to print a house, a shirt or even a cake using this technology,
though obviously not all from the same printer.
The potential importance to manufacturing
organisations is clear. They will face challenges to their established ways of
working and their proven investment models will come under threat. But there
are new opportunities. Imagine what this technology, combined with new 3D
scanning technologies, could bring to fields as divergent as medical
prosthetics, roadside assistance, bespoke jewellery and opticians, to name just
a few.
The importance to us as
technologists may be less obvious, any potentially disruptive technology is
prone to over-hyping and 3D printing is no exception. The concept also is prone
to over optimistic uptake and various factors always get forgotten in the
excitement and rush to deploy. 3D printing is at heart an information process.
Even at the most optimistic and hype driven future, concerns like security,
IPR, DRM and old fashioned process design will still have to be addressed.
There will be issues around counterfeiting and prohibited designs to be
examined and the movement of economies of scale from the manufacture of widgets
to the manufacture of 3D printers and their consumables will have to be
managed. At the core, the data and designs which drive the printers will
require the same capabilities and skills we’ve honed in ECM and data management
over the years as it will drive demand for business change skills.
3D Printing is still a long way
from providing manufacturing capability to every household, even low-end
printers are still over £10k and the consumables are expensive for occasional
use but the future looks bright. Beyond the growing and vibrant open source 3D
printing community, the market is currently worth in excess of £2B a year and
growing at 33% per annum. It might not be that far off when you get your
spouse’s birthday present from a DRM one-time design purchased from Amazon and
printed at Tesco.
“The
technology is coming, and it is likely to disrupt every field it touches” -- The Economist, in a February 10, 2011 leader
This article
is very heavily adapted from one I wrote on the topic for the Capgemini BIM
Architects newsletter in December 2011 and no, not all of the titles of my blog posts will be nicked from Queen lyrics. Just some of them.
RIP Freddy Mercury! Nice title.
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